Baglan Dragons 1-3 Ammanford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 17 Feb 2024

Baglan Dragons
1-3 HT 0-2
Ammanford
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2023/2024

Baglan Dragons vs Ammanford Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
35%
3.35
Away
31%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
2.07
Over 2.5
40%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
22%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.2pp
35%
Draw
27%
+8.3pp
31%
Away Win
40%
-8.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
44%
+15.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
56%
-15.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.4pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Baglan Dragons v Ammanford — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baglan Dragons EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ammanford EU Bookmakers 43%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
0.94/1.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.76
-44% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
250 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Baglan Dragons vs Ammanford Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baglan Dragons
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Ammanford
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
08.12.2023 Ammanford Ammanford 2-2 HT 1-1 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons GALFAW
POST-MATCH Baglan Dragons vs Ammanford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ammanford got the better of Baglan Dragons 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 35% / 31% — and on the day Ammanford made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Baglan Dragons vs Ammanford?

Baglan Dragons 1-3 Ammanford in the Wales - FAW Championship on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baglan Dragons vs Ammanford?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Baglan Dragons 34%, draw 35%, Ammanford 31%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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