Cwmbran Celtic 2-0 Afan Lido — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.14
Over 2.5
61%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.32
No
45%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-2.2pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.0pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-1.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
28%
+11.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
72%
-11.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
72%
-17.0pp
45%
BTTS No
28%
+17.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cwmbran Celtic EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Afan Lido EU Bookmakers 45%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.74/2.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/1.37
+5% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
383 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cwmbran Celtic
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Afan Lido
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.83
27.10.2023 Afan Lido Afan Lido 2-1 HT 0-1 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
17.02.2023 Afan Lido Afan Lido 2-1 HT 0-0 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
19.11.2022 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 1-4 HT 0-2 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
05.08.2022 Afan Lido Afan Lido 5-2 HT 3-1 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALLK
12.02.2022 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 0-5 HT 0-3 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
22.10.2021 Afan Lido Afan Lido 5-2 HT 4-0 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
POST-MATCH Cwmbran Celtic vs Afan Lido
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cwmbran Celtic got the better of Afan Lido 2-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Cwmbran Celtic found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Afan Lido led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cwmbran Celtic and 3.83 for Afan Lido.

What was the final score of Cwmbran Celtic vs Afan Lido?

Cwmbran Celtic 2-0 Afan Lido in the Wales - FAW Championship on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cwmbran Celtic vs Afan Lido?

Before kick-off our model rated an Afan Lido win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cwmbran Celtic 34%, draw 27%, Afan Lido 39%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Afan Lido) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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