Caersws vs Porthmadog Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Caersws v Porthmadog — Team-Based Signals
Caersws vs Porthmadog Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-1
Porthmadog
GALFAW
1-1
HT 1-1
Caersws
GALFAW
Porthmadog squeezed past Caersws 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Caersws at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (72%), both teams to score (67%) came in.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Caersws and 1.00 for Porthmadog.
What was the final score of Caersws vs Porthmadog?
Caersws 1-2 Porthmadog in the Wales - FAW Championship on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Caersws vs Porthmadog?
Before kick-off our model rated a Caersws win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Caersws 57%, draw 19%, Porthmadog 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Caersws) went the other way.