Pontardawe Town FC 4-4 Goytre United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.09
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.96
Over 2.5
62%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.35
No
44%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+2.6pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.3pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.1pp
38%
Under 2.5
30%
+7.9pp
62%
Over 2.5
70%
-7.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
70%
-13.9pp
44%
BTTS No
30%
+13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontardawe Town FC EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Goytre United EU Bookmakers 37%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.99/2.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/2.48
-1% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / -33%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontardawe Town FC
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Goytre United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
28.11.2023 Goytre United Goytre United 4-1 HT 2-1 Pontardawe Town FC Pontardawe Town FC GALFAW
18.02.2023 Pontardawe Town FC Pontardawe Town FC 4-0 HT 1-0 Goytre United Goytre United GALFAW
18.11.2022 Goytre United Goytre United 0-1 HT 0-0 Pontardawe Town FC Pontardawe Town FC GALFAW
POST-MATCH Pontardawe Town FC vs Goytre United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontardawe Town FC and Goytre United shared the points in a 4-4 draw. Half-time: 3-3. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Pontardawe Town FC at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Pontardawe Town FC had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Pontardawe Town FC and 1.33 for Goytre United.

What was the final score of Pontardawe Town FC vs Goytre United?

Pontardawe Town FC 4-4 Goytre United in the Wales - FAW Championship on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontardawe Town FC vs Goytre United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontardawe Town FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Pontardawe Town FC 46%, draw 21%, Goytre United 33%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pontardawe Town FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pontardawe Town FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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