Ehime FC 3-2 Oita Trinita — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.72
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.31
6+ Goals
9%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.8pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.0pp
40%
Away Win
40%
+0.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.3pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ehime FC EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Oita Trinita EU Bookmakers 43%
-12% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.03/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.29
-9% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -19%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ehime FC
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Oita Trinita
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.05.2024 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 2-2 HT 1-0 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
08.08.2015 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 0-1 HT 0-0 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
05.04.2015 Ehime FC Ehime FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
31.08.2014 Ehime FC Ehime FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
21.06.2014 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 2-2 HT 1-1 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ehime FC
3-2
AWAY Oita Trinita
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
192 Passes 232
66% Pass Accuracy 74%
13 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ehime FC vs Oita Trinita
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ehime FC squeezed past Oita Trinita 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Ehime FC made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Ehime FC had 52% of the ball to Oita Trinita's 48%, shots finished 14-18.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ehime FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Ehime FC and 1.20 for Oita Trinita.

What was the final score of Ehime FC vs Oita Trinita?

Ehime FC 3-2 Oita Trinita in the Japan - J2 League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ehime FC vs Oita Trinita?

Before kick-off our model rated an Oita Trinita win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ehime FC 35%, draw 25%, Oita Trinita 40%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Oita Trinita) ✗ Under 2.5
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