Oita Trinita 2-2 Ehime FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.42
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.47
6+ Goals
10%
13.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.42 — our 27% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
47%
-7.8pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.8pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.3pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oita Trinita EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Ehime FC EU Bookmakers 30%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.46/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.17
+7% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
446 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oita Trinita
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Ehime FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
08.08.2015 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 0-1 HT 0-0 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
05.04.2015 Ehime FC Ehime FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
31.08.2014 Ehime FC Ehime FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
21.06.2014 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 2-2 HT 1-1 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oita Trinita
2-2
AWAY Ehime FC
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Oita Trinita vs Ehime FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oita Trinita and Ehime FC shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Oita Trinita had 54% of the ball to Ehime FC's 46%, shots finished 13-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ehime FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Oita Trinita and 1.50 for Ehime FC.

What was the final score of Oita Trinita vs Ehime FC?

Oita Trinita 2-2 Ehime FC in the Japan - J2 League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oita Trinita vs Ehime FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oita Trinita win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Oita Trinita 39%, draw 30%, Ehime FC 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Oita Trinita), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Oita Trinita) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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