Montedio Yamagata 0-1 Mito HollyHock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 12 May 2024

Montedio Yamagata
0-1 HT 0-1
Mito HollyHock
📅12/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Japan - J2 League – 2024

Montedio Yamagata vs Mito HollyHock Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.72
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.3
6+ Goals
11%
21.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+5.0pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
32%
Away Win
35%
-2.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.7pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Montedio Yamagata v Mito HollyHock — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montedio Yamagata EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 38%
+7% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.66/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.27
+39% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
364 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.2

Montedio Yamagata vs Mito HollyHock Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montedio Yamagata
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Mito HollyHock
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
401 Passes 323
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.07.2023 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 3-1 HT 1-1 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
02.04.2023 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 0-1 HT 0-1 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
09.10.2022 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 0-0 HT 0-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
12.06.2022 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 1-0 HT 0-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
04.09.2021 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 0-1 HT 0-1 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
20.06.2021 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 0-1 HT 0-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2

Montedio Yamagata 0-1 Mito HollyHock — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montedio Yamagata
0-1
AWAY Mito HollyHock
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Montedio Yamagata vs Mito HollyHock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mito HollyHock nicked a narrow win over Montedio Yamagata 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Montedio Yamagata at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Montedio Yamagata had 57% of the ball to Mito HollyHock's 43%, shots finished 16-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mito HollyHock led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Montedio Yamagata and 1.00 for Mito HollyHock.

What was the final score of Montedio Yamagata vs Mito HollyHock?

Montedio Yamagata 0-1 Mito HollyHock in the Japan - J2 League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montedio Yamagata vs Mito HollyHock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montedio Yamagata win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Montedio Yamagata 42%, draw 26%, Mito HollyHock 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Montedio Yamagata) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Montedio Yamagata) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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