Tokushima Vortis 1-0 Tochigi SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.56
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.6
6+ Goals
10%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.1pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokushima Vortis EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Tochigi SC EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
1.35/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.36
-12% / +101% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokushima Vortis
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Tochigi SC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
576 Passes 238
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.08.2023 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 2-2 HT 1-1 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
11.06.2023 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 1-0 HT 1-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
30.07.2022 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 1-1 HT 0-0 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
21.05.2022 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 0-1 HT 0-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
11.11.2020 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 2-0 HT 0-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
09.09.2020 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 0-1 HT 0-0 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokushima Vortis
1-0
AWAY Tochigi SC
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tokushima Vortis vs Tochigi SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokushima Vortis squeezed past Tochigi SC 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tokushima Vortis as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Tokushima Vortis had 62% of the ball to Tochigi SC's 38%, shots finished 11-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tokushima Vortis had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Tokushima Vortis and 0.67 for Tochigi SC.

What was the final score of Tokushima Vortis vs Tochigi SC?

Tokushima Vortis 1-0 Tochigi SC in the Japan - J2 League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokushima Vortis vs Tochigi SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tokushima Vortis win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Tokushima Vortis 44%, draw 27%, Tochigi SC 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tokushima Vortis), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tokushima Vortis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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