V-Varen Nagasaki 0-0 Fagiano Okayama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 12 May 2024

V-Varen Nagasaki
0-0 HT 0-0
Fagiano Okayama
📅12/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Japan - J2 League – 2024

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.92
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.0
6+ Goals
10%
18.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-6.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.6pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+6.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.5pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

V-Varen Nagasaki v Fagiano Okayama — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Fagiano Okayama EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +2%
1.63/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.94
+20% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +33%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
500 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.4

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Fagiano Okayama
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
325 Passes 361
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.07.2023 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 2-2 HT 1-2 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
17.05.2023 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 0-0 HT 0-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
17.09.2022 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 3-0 HT 1-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
29.05.2022 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 0-0 HT 0-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
28.11.2021 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 0-1 HT 0-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
23.05.2021 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 0-1 HT 0-1 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2

V-Varen Nagasaki 0-0 Fagiano Okayama — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki
0-0
AWAY Fagiano Okayama
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH V-Varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

V-Varen Nagasaki and Fagiano Okayama fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, V-Varen Nagasaki had 57% of the ball to Fagiano Okayama's 43%, shots finished 15-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fagiano Okayama led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for V-Varen Nagasaki and 1.00 for Fagiano Okayama.

What was the final score of V-Varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama?

V-Varen Nagasaki 0-0 Fagiano Okayama in the Japan - J2 League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for V-Varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama?

Before kick-off our model rated a V-Varen Nagasaki win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split V-Varen Nagasaki 37%, draw 28%, Fagiano Okayama 35%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki) ✓ Under 2.5
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