Iwaki 1-2 Renofa Yamaguchi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
33%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.8
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.18
6+ Goals
9%
20.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-7.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+9.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.3pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Iwaki EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi EU Bookmakers 28%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +7%
1.40/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.28
-9% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Iwaki
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.07.2023 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 0-0 HT 0-0 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
05.03.2023 Iwaki Iwaki 0-1 HT 0-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Iwaki
1-2
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Iwaki vs Renofa Yamaguchi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Renofa Yamaguchi nicked a narrow win over Iwaki 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Iwaki at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Iwaki had 48% of the ball to Renofa Yamaguchi's 52%, shots finished 11-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Renofa Yamaguchi led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Iwaki and 0.50 for Renofa Yamaguchi.

What was the final score of Iwaki vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Iwaki 1-2 Renofa Yamaguchi in the Japan - J2 League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Iwaki vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Iwaki win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Iwaki 42%, draw 25%, Renofa Yamaguchi 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Iwaki) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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