Kauno Zalgiris II 2-2 Neptüna Klaipeda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.75
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
45%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.63
Over 2.5
51%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.46
No
50%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
30%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
23%
+7.3pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.4pp
46%
Away Win
55%
-9.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
34%
+15.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
66%
-15.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
64%
-13.9pp
50%
BTTS No
36%
+13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda EU Bookmakers 60%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -21%
1.61/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.62
+45% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -40%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
253 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
22.03.2024 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 2-1 HT 1-0 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
04.11.2023 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 5-1 HT 2-1 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
23.06.2023 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 5-0 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
02.10.2021 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 3-0 HT 1-0 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II
2-2
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris II vs Neptüna Klaipeda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris II and Neptüna Klaipeda shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Neptüna Klaipeda at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris II had 49% of the ball to Neptüna Klaipeda's 51%, shots finished 12-13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Kauno Zalgiris II and 2.00 for Neptüna Klaipeda.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris II vs Neptüna Klaipeda?

Kauno Zalgiris II 2-2 Neptüna Klaipeda in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris II vs Neptüna Klaipeda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Neptüna Klaipeda win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris II 31%, draw 24%, Neptüna Klaipeda 46%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda) ✓ Over 2.5
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