Neptüna Klaipeda 2-1 Kauno Zalgiris II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 22 Mar 2024

📅22/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.43
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
25%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.43
Over 2.5
57%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
65%
-12.3pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.6pp
25%
Away Win
14%
+10.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.5pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neptüna Klaipeda EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 17%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.97/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.82
+10% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
433 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neptüna Klaipeda
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
04.11.2023 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 5-1 HT 2-1 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
23.06.2023 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 5-0 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
02.10.2021 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 3-0 HT 1-0 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
POST-MATCH Neptüna Klaipeda vs Kauno Zalgiris II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neptüna Klaipeda edged past Kauno Zalgiris II 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Neptüna Klaipeda as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris II led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Neptüna Klaipeda and 2.67 for Kauno Zalgiris II.

What was the final score of Neptüna Klaipeda vs Kauno Zalgiris II?

Neptüna Klaipeda 2-1 Kauno Zalgiris II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neptüna Klaipeda vs Kauno Zalgiris II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neptüna Klaipeda win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Neptüna Klaipeda 53%, draw 22%, Kauno Zalgiris II 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LIT1 More Lithuania - 1st Division
22 Mar 2024
19:00 Nevezis vs Panevezys II Analysis →
19:00 Babrungas vs FA Siauliai II Analysis →