Nevezis 1-0 Panevezys II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 22 Mar 2024

Nevezis
1-0 HT 1-0
Panevezys II
📅22/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Lithuania - 1st Division – 2024

Nevezis vs Panevezys II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-6.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.0pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nevezis v Panevezys II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nevezis EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Panevezys II EU Bookmakers 23%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +14%
2.39/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.82
+42% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
389 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.4

Nevezis vs Panevezys II Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nevezis
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Panevezys II
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.08.2023 Panevezys II Panevezys II 2-0 HT 0-0 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
07.04.2023 Nevezis Nevezis 0-0 HT 0-0 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
14.10.2022 Nevezis Nevezis 1-2 HT 0-0 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
12.06.2022 Panevezys II Panevezys II 0-4 HT 0-3 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1

Nevezis 1-0 Panevezys II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nevezis
1-0
AWAY Panevezys II
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Nevezis vs Panevezys II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nevezis edged past Panevezys II 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nevezis as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nevezis had 48% of the ball to Panevezys II's 52%, shots finished 14-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Panevezys II led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Nevezis and 1.00 for Panevezys II.

What was the final score of Nevezis vs Panevezys II?

Nevezis 1-0 Panevezys II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nevezis vs Panevezys II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nevezis win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Nevezis 49%, draw 26%, Panevezys II 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nevezis) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nevezis) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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