Babrungas 3-2 FA Siauliai II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 22 Mar 2024

📅22/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.3
Draw
16%
4.95
Away
14%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
29%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
72%
-2.1pp
15%
Draw
17%
-1.5pp
14%
Away Win
11%
+3.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.0pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Babrungas EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY FA Siauliai II EU Bookmakers 14%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.52/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/3.01
+19% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -33%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
456 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Babrungas
3W-0D-1L
AWAY FA Siauliai II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
08.11.2023 Babrungas Babrungas 3-0 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
30.06.2023 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 0-1 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
06.08.2022 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 1-2 HT 0-0 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
25.03.2022 Babrungas Babrungas 2-3 HT 1-1 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Babrungas
3-2
AWAY FA Siauliai II
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Babrungas vs FA Siauliai II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Babrungas squeezed past FA Siauliai II 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Babrungas as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Babrungas had 51% of the ball to FA Siauliai II's 49%, shots finished 16-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Babrungas had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Babrungas and 1.00 for FA Siauliai II.

What was the final score of Babrungas vs FA Siauliai II?

Babrungas 3-2 FA Siauliai II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Babrungas vs FA Siauliai II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Babrungas win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Babrungas 70%, draw 15%, FA Siauliai II 14%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Babrungas), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Babrungas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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