Kongsvinger II 1-1 Mjolner — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.18
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
32%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.68
Over 2.5
64%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.29
No
37%
3.23
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
5%
2/1
13%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+3.2pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.8pp
32%
Away Win
37%
-5.0pp
36%
Under 2.5
24%
+12.8pp
64%
Over 2.5
76%
-12.9pp
63%
BTTS Yes
73%
-10.0pp
37%
BTTS No
27%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kongsvinger II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Mjolner EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.84/2.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.51
+40% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +33%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
230 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Kongsvinger II vs Mjolner
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kongsvinger II and Mjolner shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Kongsvinger II at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (63%) landed while over 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

What was the final score of Kongsvinger II vs Mjolner?

Kongsvinger II 1-1 Mjolner in the Norway - 3rd Division on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kongsvinger II vs Mjolner?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kongsvinger II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Kongsvinger II 45%, draw 23%, Mjolner 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kongsvinger II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kongsvinger II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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