Spjelkavik 2-2 Molde II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
2.19
Draw
17%
3.8
Away
23%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.98
Over 2.5
65%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.32
No
39%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
3%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
42%
+18.2pp
17%
Draw
23%
-5.7pp
23%
Away Win
36%
-12.5pp
35%
Under 2.5
30%
+4.8pp
65%
Over 2.5
70%
-4.8pp
61%
BTTS Yes
72%
-10.2pp
39%
BTTS No
28%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spjelkavik EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Molde II EU Bookmakers 40%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.61/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/2.35
-21% / +102% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
360 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spjelkavik
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Molde II
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 1
6 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.05.2024 Molde II Molde II 0-4 HT 0-1 Spjelkavik Spjelkavik NOR4
30.09.2023 Spjelkavik Spjelkavik 5-1 HT 0-0 Molde II Molde II NOR4
11.04.2023 Molde II Molde II 2-2 HT 0-2 Spjelkavik Spjelkavik NOR4
11.07.2022 Molde II Molde II 5-1 HT 3-0 Spjelkavik Spjelkavik NOR4
30.05.2022 Spjelkavik Spjelkavik 3-0 HT 0-0 Molde II Molde II NOR4
POST-MATCH Spjelkavik vs Molde II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spjelkavik and Molde II shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Spjelkavik at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Spjelkavik had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Spjelkavik and 1.60 for Molde II.

What was the final score of Spjelkavik vs Molde II?

Spjelkavik 2-2 Molde II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spjelkavik vs Molde II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spjelkavik win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Spjelkavik 60%, draw 17%, Molde II 23%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Spjelkavik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spjelkavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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