Chojniczanka Chojnice 0-1 Kalisz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒20:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.96
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.94
6+ Goals
7%
17.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.96 — our 34% vs market 28.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-6.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.7pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chojniczanka Chojnice EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Kalisz EU Bookmakers 27%
+13% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +12%
1.89/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.12
+19% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +37%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
368 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chojniczanka Chojnice
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Kalisz
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice 0-1 HT 0-1 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
17.09.2023 Kalisz Kalisz 0-1 HT 0-0 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice POL2
22.05.2022 Kalisz Kalisz 2-3 HT 2-2 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice POL2
12.11.2021 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice 2-1 HT 2-0 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
18.04.2021 Kalisz Kalisz 0-2 HT 0-1 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice POL2
16.10.2020 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice 3-0 HT 2-0 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
POST-MATCH Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Kalisz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kalisz squeezed past Chojniczanka Chojnice 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Chojniczanka Chojnice at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chojniczanka Chojnice had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Chojniczanka Chojnice and 0.67 for Kalisz.

What was the final score of Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Kalisz?

Chojniczanka Chojnice 0-1 Kalisz in the Poland - 2nd Division on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Kalisz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chojniczanka Chojnice win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Chojniczanka Chojnice 44%, draw 25%, Kalisz 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chojniczanka Chojnice) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chojniczanka Chojnice) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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