Wisla Pulawy 3-2 Olimpia Elblag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
26%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.07
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.82
6+ Goals
11%
16.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 28% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+0.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-2.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wisla Pulawy EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Olimpia Elblag EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -12%
1.74/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.33
+12% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wisla Pulawy
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Olimpia Elblag
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
28.03.2024 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy 4-0 HT 1-0 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag POL2
15.09.2023 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag 3-2 HT 0-0 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy POL2
08.04.2023 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy 1-0 HT 0-0 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag POL2
03.09.2022 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag 2-1 HT 0-0 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy POL2
16.04.2022 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag 0-2 HT 0-1 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy POL2
02.10.2021 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy 2-3 HT 0-1 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wisla Pulawy
3-2
AWAY Olimpia Elblag
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Wisla Pulawy vs Olimpia Elblag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wisla Pulawy squeezed past Olimpia Elblag 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Wisla Pulawy as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Wisla Pulawy had 61% of the ball to Olimpia Elblag's 39%, shots finished 17-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Wisla Pulawy and 1.33 for Olimpia Elblag.

What was the final score of Wisla Pulawy vs Olimpia Elblag?

Wisla Pulawy 3-2 Olimpia Elblag in the Poland - 2nd Division on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wisla Pulawy vs Olimpia Elblag?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wisla Pulawy win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Wisla Pulawy 45%, draw 29%, Olimpia Elblag 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wisla Pulawy), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wisla Pulawy) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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