Legia Varşova 4-1 Radomiak Radom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
1.91
Over
45%
1.84
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No Pick
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
33%
3.39
2-3
38%
1.79
4-5
20%
3.51
6+
9%
13.65
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.39 — our 33% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.19
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.1
X/1
17%
3.91
X/2
8%
9.43
X/X
13%
5.12
2/1
10%
23.6
2/2
9%
7.41
2/X
6%
15.8
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Legia Varşova The Market 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Radomiak Radom The Market 23%
Strong Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.70 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.13
0.93 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.59
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Strong Defensevs comparable teams Weak
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
23.0 Crosses 17.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Legia Varşova
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Radomiak Radom
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.09 xG 1.72
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
386 Passes 283
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.05.2024 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 0-3 HT 0-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
05.11.2023 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 0-1 HT 0-1 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
17.03.2023 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 0-2 HT 0-1 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
02.09.2022 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 1-0 HT 0-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
19.12.2021 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 0-3 HT 0-1 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
31.07.2021 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 3-1 HT 0-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Legia Varşova
4-1
AWAY Radomiak Radom
2.57 xG 0.98
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
318 Passes 275
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 11
8 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Legia Varşova vs Radomiak Radom
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Legia Varşova swept aside Radomiak Radom 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Legia Varşova as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

By the numbers, possession split 52% to 48% in Legia Varşova's favour, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 2.57 to 0.98.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Legia Varşova against 1.50 for Radomiak Radom.

Legia Varşova vs Radomiak Radom Result & Final Score

Legia Varşova 4-1 Radomiak Radom in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Legia Varşova vs Radomiak Radom Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Legia Varşova win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Legia Varşova 51%, draw 26%, Radomiak Radom 23%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Legia Varşova) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Legia Varşova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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