Legia Varşova 0-3 Radomiak Radom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.02
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
10.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.86
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.0
X/1
21%
3.69
X/2
6%
12.0
X/X
10%
6.11
2/1
6%
21.85
2/2
9%
9.26
2/X
7%
17.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
63%
-7.9pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.3pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Legia Varşova EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Radomiak Radom EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
1.93/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.69
+16% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -22%
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
374 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 73%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
23.9 Crosses 17.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Legia Varşova
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Radomiak Radom
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.18 xG 1.80
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
389 Passes 277
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.11.2023 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 0-1 HT 0-1 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
17.03.2023 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 0-2 HT 0-1 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
02.09.2022 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 1-0 HT 0-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
19.12.2021 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 0-3 HT 0-1 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
31.07.2021 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 3-1 HT 0-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Legia Varşova
0-3
AWAY Radomiak Radom
0.69 xG 1.29
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 15
0 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
375 Passes 313
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
31 Box Touches 9
20 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Legia Varşova vs Radomiak Radom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radomiak Radom ran out comfortable winners over Legia Varşova 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Legia Varşova at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Legia Varşova had 55% of the ball to Radomiak Radom's 45%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 0.69 to 1.29.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Legia Varşova had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Legia Varşova and 1.20 for Radomiak Radom.

What was the final score of Legia Varşova vs Radomiak Radom?

Legia Varşova 0-3 Radomiak Radom in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Legia Varşova vs Radomiak Radom?

Before kick-off our model rated a Legia Varşova win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Legia Varşova 55%, draw 24%, Radomiak Radom 21%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Legia Varşova) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Legia Varşova) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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