Warta Poznan 2-1 Widzew Lodz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.58
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.56
6+ Goals
9%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.3
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
14%
4.72
X/2
14%
6.17
X/X
17%
3.95
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
12%
4.8
2/X
7%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.4pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.5pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Warta Poznan EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Widzew Lodz EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
1.15/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.40
-24% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 77%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
19.8 Crosses 19.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Warta Poznan
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Widzew Lodz
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
0.90 xG 1.40
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
212 Passes 443
66% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 35
3 Yellow Cards 1
04.11.2023 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 0-1 HT 0-1 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL
04.03.2023 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 0-2 HT 0-1 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL
20.08.2022 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 0-1 HT 0-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
06.02.2019 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 2-0 HT 0-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Warta Poznan
2-1
AWAY Widzew Lodz
1.26 xG 0.90
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 4
233 Passes 420
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Warta Poznan vs Widzew Lodz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Warta Poznan edged past Widzew Lodz 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Warta Poznan made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Warta Poznan had 39% of the ball to Widzew Lodz's 61%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 1.26 to 0.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Warta Poznan had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Warta Poznan and 0.25 for Widzew Lodz.

What was the final score of Warta Poznan vs Widzew Lodz?

Warta Poznan 2-1 Widzew Lodz in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Warta Poznan vs Widzew Lodz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Warta Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Warta Poznan 39%, draw 29%, Widzew Lodz 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Warta Poznan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Warta Poznan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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