Korona Kielce 1-1 Piast Gliwice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 5 May 2024

Korona Kielce
1-1 HT 0-1
Piast Gliwice
📅05/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2023/2024

Korona Kielce vs Piast Gliwice Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.53
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.52
Over 2.5
49%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.31
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
5.29
6+ Goals
9%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.05
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
19%
5.29
X/2
12%
5.35
X/X
12%
3.6
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
16%
4.12
2/X
5%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
36%
+6.1pp
25%
Draw
30%
-5.7pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
62%
-10.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
38%
+10.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.4pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Korona Kielce v Piast Gliwice — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Korona Kielce EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +12%
1.51/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.35
-7% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 72%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
23.9 Crosses 17.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8

Korona Kielce vs Piast Gliwice Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Korona Kielce
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Piast Gliwice
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.71 xG 1.14
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
267 Passes 402
69% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.11.2023 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 0-0 HT 0-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
12.05.2023 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 2-1 HT 0-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
29.10.2022 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 1-1 HT 1-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
05.06.2020 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 1-2 HT 1-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
26.10.2019 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-0 HT 0-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
13.04.2019 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 4-0 HT 2-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL

Korona Kielce 1-1 Piast Gliwice — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Korona Kielce
1-1
AWAY Piast Gliwice
1.24 xG 1.12
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
308 Passes 290
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 13
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Korona Kielce vs Piast Gliwice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Korona Kielce and Piast Gliwice shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Korona Kielce at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Korona Kielce had 51% of the ball to Piast Gliwice's 49%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.24 to 1.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Piast Gliwice led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Korona Kielce and 1.67 for Piast Gliwice.

What was the final score of Korona Kielce vs Piast Gliwice?

Korona Kielce 1-1 Piast Gliwice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Korona Kielce vs Piast Gliwice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Korona Kielce win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Korona Kielce 42%, draw 25%, Piast Gliwice 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Korona Kielce), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Korona Kielce) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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