Ural 2-0 Chayka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 18 Aug 2024

Ural
2-0 HT 1-0
Chayka
📅18/08/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.4
No
59%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-10.7pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.0pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+6.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
38%
+3.2pp
59%
BTTS No
62%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ural EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Chayka EU Bookmakers 15%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +26%
0.99/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.28
-40% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +36%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
380 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ural
2-0
AWAY Chayka
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ural vs Chayka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ural beat Chayka 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ural as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Ural had 58% of the ball to Chayka's 42%, shots finished 17-8.

What was the final score of Ural vs Chayka?

Ural 2-0 Chayka in the Russia - FNL on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ural vs Chayka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ural win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Ural 56%, draw 26%, Chayka 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ural), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ural) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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