Chernomorets 2-1 Tyumen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 18 Aug 2024

Chernomorets
2-1 HT 1-0
Tyumen
📅18/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Russia - FNL – 2024/2025

Chernomorets vs Tyumen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.89
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
32%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.09
No
49%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
49%
-11.8pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.6pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+8.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+7.3pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chernomorets v Tyumen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chernomorets EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Tyumen EU Bookmakers 27%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +13%
1.88/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.30
+28% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
349 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.2

Chernomorets vs Tyumen Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chernomorets
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Tyumen
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.04.2024 Tyumen Tyumen 1-1 HT 1-1 Chernomorets Chernomorets RUS1
22.10.2023 Chernomorets Chernomorets 0-1 HT 0-0 Tyumen Tyumen RUS1
POST-MATCH Chernomorets vs Tyumen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chernomorets nicked a narrow win over Tyumen 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) promised a tight game; Chernomorets found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Tyumen led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Chernomorets and 1.00 for Tyumen.

What was the final score of Chernomorets vs Tyumen?

Chernomorets 2-1 Tyumen in the Russia - FNL on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chernomorets vs Tyumen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chernomorets win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chernomorets 37%, draw 31%, Tyumen 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chernomorets), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chernomorets) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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