Tyumen 1-1 Chernomorets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 24 Apr 2024

📅24/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.54
Over 2.5
37%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.03
No
60%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.0pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.1pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
61%
+2.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
39%
-2.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-5.3pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tyumen EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Chernomorets EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
0.81/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.77
-31% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -38%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
291 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tyumen
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Chernomorets
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.10.2023 Chernomorets Chernomorets 0-1 HT 0-0 Tyumen Tyumen RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tyumen
1-1
AWAY Chernomorets
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tyumen vs Chernomorets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tyumen and Chernomorets shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Tyumen had 46% of the ball to Chernomorets's 54%, shots finished 9-11.

What was the final score of Tyumen vs Chernomorets?

Tyumen 1-1 Chernomorets in the Russia - FNL on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tyumen vs Chernomorets?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tyumen win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tyumen 38%, draw 29%, Chernomorets 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tyumen), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tyumen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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