Neftekhimik 1-2 Shinnik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 24 Apr 2024

📅24/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.0pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neftekhimik EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Shinnik EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +6%
1.33/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.38
-11% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neftekhimik
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Shinnik
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
03.09.2023 Shinnik Shinnik 1-0 HT 1-0 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
26.03.2023 Shinnik Shinnik 3-0 HT 3-0 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
04.09.2022 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 1-0 HT 0-0 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
07.04.2021 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 1-1 HT 1-0 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
13.10.2020 Shinnik Shinnik 1-2 HT 0-1 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neftekhimik
1-2
AWAY Shinnik
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Neftekhimik vs Shinnik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shinnik nicked a narrow win over Neftekhimik 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Neftekhimik at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Neftekhimik had 51% of the ball to Shinnik's 49%, shots finished 9-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Neftekhimik and 1.20 for Shinnik.

What was the final score of Neftekhimik vs Shinnik?

Neftekhimik 1-2 Shinnik in the Russia - FNL on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neftekhimik vs Shinnik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neftekhimik win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Neftekhimik 44%, draw 26%, Shinnik 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Neftekhimik) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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