Alaniya Vladikavkaz 3-0 Kuban Krasnodar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 24 Apr 2024

📅24/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
-0.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
28%
Away Win
28%
+0.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.0pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alaniya Vladikavkaz EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Kuban Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -15%
1.51/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.32
+13% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
360 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Kuban Krasnodar
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
26.08.2023 Kuban Krasnodar Kuban Krasnodar 0-1 HT 0-1 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz RUS1
13.03.2023 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz 1-1 HT 0-1 Kuban Krasnodar Kuban Krasnodar RUS1
17.11.2021 Kuban Krasnodar Kuban Krasnodar 5-5 HT 3-2 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz RUS1
08.08.2021 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz 3-2 HT 0-1 Kuban Krasnodar Kuban Krasnodar RUS1
POST-MATCH Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Kuban Krasnodar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alaniya Vladikavkaz cruised past Kuban Krasnodar 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alaniya Vladikavkaz as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Alaniya Vladikavkaz had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Alaniya Vladikavkaz and 2.00 for Kuban Krasnodar.

What was the final score of Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Kuban Krasnodar?

Alaniya Vladikavkaz 3-0 Kuban Krasnodar in the Russia - FNL on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Kuban Krasnodar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alaniya Vladikavkaz win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Alaniya Vladikavkaz 45%, draw 27%, Kuban Krasnodar 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alaniya Vladikavkaz), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alaniya Vladikavkaz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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