Volgar Astrakhan 1-1 Torpedo Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 24 Apr 2024

📅24/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.47
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
40%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.56
Over 2.5
32%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.99
No
59%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
36%
-7.4pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.3pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+6.1pp
68%
Under 2.5
60%
+7.9pp
32%
Over 2.5
40%
-7.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
46%
-5.5pp
59%
BTTS No
54%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volgar Astrakhan EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Torpedo Moscow EU Bookmakers 38%
-1% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
0.92/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/0.90
-18% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volgar Astrakhan
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Torpedo Moscow
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.11.2023 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 0-3 HT 0-2 Volgar Astrakhan Volgar Astrakhan RUS1
27.11.2021 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 1-0 HT 0-0 Volgar Astrakhan Volgar Astrakhan RUS1
21.08.2021 Volgar Astrakhan Volgar Astrakhan 0-1 HT 0-0 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS1
02.05.2021 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 1-0 HT 0-0 Volgar Astrakhan Volgar Astrakhan RUS1
07.11.2020 Volgar Astrakhan Volgar Astrakhan 3-2 HT 2-1 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volgar Astrakhan
1-1
AWAY Torpedo Moscow
42% Ball Possession 58%
4 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Volgar Astrakhan vs Torpedo Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Volgar Astrakhan and Torpedo Moscow shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (29% / 31% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Volgar Astrakhan had 42% of the ball to Torpedo Moscow's 58%, shots finished 4-12.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Torpedo Moscow led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Volgar Astrakhan and 1.00 for Torpedo Moscow.

What was the final score of Volgar Astrakhan vs Torpedo Moscow?

Volgar Astrakhan 1-1 Torpedo Moscow in the Russia - FNL on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volgar Astrakhan vs Torpedo Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torpedo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Volgar Astrakhan 29%, draw 31%, Torpedo Moscow 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Torpedo Moscow), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Torpedo Moscow) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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