Zeleznicar Pancevo 2-1 IMT Novi Beograd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zeleznicar Pancevo EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd EU Bookmakers 29%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.34/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.08
-17% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 72%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
27.3 Crosses 18.7
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zeleznicar Pancevo
1W-2D-0L
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.18 xG 1.28
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
382 Passes 334
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.04.2024 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 0-0 HT 0-0 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo SIRP
29.03.2024 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 1-1 HT 0-0 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo SIRP
23.10.2023 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo 3-1 HT 1-1 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zeleznicar Pancevo
2-1
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd
1.46 xG 0.41
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
309 Passes 367
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 16
6 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zeleznicar Pancevo vs IMT Novi Beograd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zeleznicar Pancevo nicked a narrow win over IMT Novi Beograd 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Zeleznicar Pancevo as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zeleznicar Pancevo had 46% of the ball to IMT Novi Beograd's 54%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 1.46 to 0.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Zeleznicar Pancevo had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Zeleznicar Pancevo and 0.67 for IMT Novi Beograd.

What was the final score of Zeleznicar Pancevo vs IMT Novi Beograd?

Zeleznicar Pancevo 2-1 IMT Novi Beograd in the Serbia - Super League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zeleznicar Pancevo vs IMT Novi Beograd?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zeleznicar Pancevo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Zeleznicar Pancevo 42%, draw 28%, IMT Novi Beograd 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zeleznicar Pancevo), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zeleznicar Pancevo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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