IMT Novi Beograd 1-1 Zeleznicar Pancevo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
34%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-7.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+8.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.2pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IMT Novi Beograd EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Zeleznicar Pancevo EU Bookmakers 29%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.69/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.69
-39% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -31%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
309 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
27.1 Crosses 21.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IMT Novi Beograd
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Zeleznicar Pancevo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 0
23.10.2023 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo 3-1 HT 1-1 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IMT Novi Beograd
1-1
AWAY Zeleznicar Pancevo
1.18 xG 1.06
44% Ball Possession 56%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
370 Passes 461
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 11
15 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH IMT Novi Beograd vs Zeleznicar Pancevo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IMT Novi Beograd and Zeleznicar Pancevo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was IMT Novi Beograd at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, IMT Novi Beograd had 44% of the ball to Zeleznicar Pancevo's 56%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.18 to 1.06.

What was the final score of IMT Novi Beograd vs Zeleznicar Pancevo?

IMT Novi Beograd 1-1 Zeleznicar Pancevo in the Serbia - Super League on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IMT Novi Beograd vs Zeleznicar Pancevo?

Before kick-off our model rated a IMT Novi Beograd win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split IMT Novi Beograd 41%, draw 25%, Zeleznicar Pancevo 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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