Cukaricki Stankom 2-0 Novi Pazar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.66
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
-10.4pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.9pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.8pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cukaricki Stankom EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
1.76/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.57
+30% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +0%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 68%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
21.6 Crosses 14.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cukaricki Stankom
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Novi Pazar
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.33 xG 1.36
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
313 Passes 268
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.10.2023 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 1-0 HT 0-0 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
29.10.2022 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom 2-2 HT 1-1 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
15.07.2022 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 1-2 HT 1-1 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
22.11.2021 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom 1-1 HT 0-1 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
18.11.2021 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 2-2 HT 2-1 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
18.04.2021 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 1-3 HT 1-1 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cukaricki Stankom
2-0
AWAY Novi Pazar
2.90 xG 0.80
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
206 Passes 366
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cukaricki Stankom vs Novi Pazar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cukaricki Stankom got the better of Novi Pazar 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cukaricki Stankom as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Cukaricki Stankom had 42% of the ball to Novi Pazar's 58%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 2.90 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cukaricki Stankom had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cukaricki Stankom and 1.33 for Novi Pazar.

What was the final score of Cukaricki Stankom vs Novi Pazar?

Cukaricki Stankom 2-0 Novi Pazar in the Serbia - Super League on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cukaricki Stankom vs Novi Pazar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cukaricki Stankom win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Cukaricki Stankom 45%, draw 29%, Novi Pazar 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cukaricki Stankom), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cukaricki Stankom) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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