LNZ Cherkasy 3-1 Rukh Vynnyky — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.7pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+3.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.2pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LNZ Cherkasy EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Rukh Vynnyky EU Bookmakers 38%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
0.88/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.02
-21% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / +0%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
288 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LNZ Cherkasy
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Rukh Vynnyky
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 7
2 Corners 3
01.04.2024 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky 1-0 HT 0-0 LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy UKR
17.09.2023 LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy 2-1 HT 1-0 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LNZ Cherkasy
3-1
AWAY Rukh Vynnyky
62% Ball Possession 38%
8 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH LNZ Cherkasy vs Rukh Vynnyky
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LNZ Cherkasy saw off Rukh Vynnyky 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day LNZ Cherkasy made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, LNZ Cherkasy had 62% of the ball to Rukh Vynnyky's 38%, shots finished 8-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for LNZ Cherkasy and 1.00 for Rukh Vynnyky.

What was the final score of LNZ Cherkasy vs Rukh Vynnyky?

LNZ Cherkasy 3-1 Rukh Vynnyky in the Ukraine - Premier League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LNZ Cherkasy vs Rukh Vynnyky?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rukh Vynnyky win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split LNZ Cherkasy 36%, draw 26%, Rukh Vynnyky 38%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rukh Vynnyky) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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