Livyi Bereh 0-1 Shakhtar Donetsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
12.23
Draw
20%
7.13
Away
60%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.61
Over 2.5
54%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
32%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
5%
+15.3pp
20%
Draw
10%
+9.0pp
60%
Away Win
84%
-24.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
35%
+11.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
65%
-11.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.3pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Livyi Bereh EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk EU Bookmakers 90%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +5%
0.97/1.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.67/0.57
+37% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +42%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
244 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 458 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Livyi Bereh
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh 1-1 HT 1-1 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
12.11.2023 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 1-3 HT 1-1 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh UKR
28.05.2023 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 3-0 HT 1-0 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh UKR
19.11.2022 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh 2-1 HT 1-1 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
11.09.2021 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 2-0 HT 1-0 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh UKR
01.05.2021 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 2-1 HT 2-0 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh UKR
POST-MATCH Livyi Bereh vs Shakhtar Donetsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shakhtar Donetsk nicked a narrow win over Livyi Bereh 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shakhtar Donetsk as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shakhtar Donetsk led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Livyi Bereh and 1.67 for Shakhtar Donetsk.

What was the final score of Livyi Bereh vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Livyi Bereh 0-1 Shakhtar Donetsk in the Ukraine - Premier League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Livyi Bereh vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Livyi Bereh 20%, draw 20%, Shakhtar Donetsk 60%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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