Odense 1-5 AGF Aarhus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 18 Aug 2025

📅18/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.99
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.89
2-3 Goals
35%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.17
6+ Goals
15%
10.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.78
1/2
7%
23.2
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
15%
6.98
X/2
14%
5.01
X/X
11%
5.0
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
30.5
2/2
21%
2.85
2/X
5%
12.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 30.5 — our 8% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+5.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-2.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.6pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Odense EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY AGF Aarhus EU Bookmakers 48%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +5%
1.22/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.93
+6% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +57%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
307 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 450 · 85%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
15.5 Crosses 22.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Odense
1W-3D-2L
AWAY AGF Aarhus
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.38 xG 1.43
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
326 Passes 402
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.07.2025 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 0-0 HT 0-0 Odense Odense HAZ
03.03.2024 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-1 HT 0-0 Odense Odense DAN
20.08.2023 Odense Odense 1-1 HT 1-1 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
19.03.2023 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-0 HT 1-0 Odense Odense DAN
07.08.2022 Odense Odense 1-2 HT 1-1 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
01.05.2022 Odense Odense 1-0 HT 1-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Odense
1-5
AWAY AGF Aarhus
1.91 xG 3.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 5
390 Passes 404
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 27
25 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Odense vs AGF Aarhus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AGF Aarhus ran out comfortable winners over Odense 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AGF Aarhus as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Odense had 49% of the ball to AGF Aarhus's 51%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 1.91 to 3.17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AGF Aarhus led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Odense and 0.83 for AGF Aarhus.

What was the final score of Odense vs AGF Aarhus?

Odense 1-5 AGF Aarhus in the Denmark - Süperlig on 18/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Odense vs AGF Aarhus?

Before kick-off our model rated an AGF Aarhus win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Odense 35%, draw 23%, AGF Aarhus 41%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AGF Aarhus), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AGF Aarhus) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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