Jaro 0-4 SJK Seinajoki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 18 Aug 2025

📅18/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
44%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.51
Over 2.5
48%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
5.46
2-3 Goals
42%
2.02
4-5 Goals
23%
2.67
6+ Goals
10%
6.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.46 — our 25% vs market 13.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.67
1/2
8%
20.05
1/X
8%
13.05
X/1
8%
7.44
X/2
17%
5.07
X/X
12%
6.06
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
19%
2.61
2/X
4%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.8pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.0pp
44%
Away Win
47%
-2.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
36%
+16.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
64%
-16.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.1pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jaro EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY SJK Seinajoki EU Bookmakers 51%
+6% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +30%
1.04/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/0.75
+25% / +79% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +92%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
341 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 83%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
23.6 Crosses 23.7
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jaro
1W-1D-4L
AWAY SJK Seinajoki
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.76 xG 3.15
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
340 Passes 379
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Box Touches 37
15 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 4
14.06.2025 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 3-1 HT 2-0 Jaro Jaro FİN
01.02.2025 Jaro Jaro 1-2 HT 0-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FLK
19.01.2019 Jaro Jaro 1-2 HT 1-2 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki HAZ
24.02.2018 Jaro Jaro 1-1 HT 0-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİK
25.10.2015 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 2-0 HT 1-0 Jaro Jaro FİN
09.08.2015 Jaro Jaro 1-0 HT 0-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jaro
0-4
AWAY SJK Seinajoki
1.42 xG 1.94
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
456 Passes 379
88% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 18
29 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jaro vs SJK Seinajoki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SJK Seinajoki ran out comfortable winners over Jaro 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had SJK Seinajoki as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Jaro had 54% of the ball to SJK Seinajoki's 46%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 1.42 to 1.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SJK Seinajoki led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Jaro and 1.67 for SJK Seinajoki.

What was the final score of Jaro vs SJK Seinajoki?

Jaro 0-4 SJK Seinajoki in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 18/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jaro vs SJK Seinajoki?

Before kick-off our model rated an SJK Seinajoki win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Jaro 33%, draw 23%, SJK Seinajoki 44%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SJK Seinajoki) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SJK Seinajoki) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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