Jaro 1-2 SJK Seinajoki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.48
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
49%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.38
Over 2.5
49%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.6
No
53%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.75
2-3 Goals
37%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.62
6+ Goals
13%
6.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.75 — our 27% vs market 15.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
19%
+6.3pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.2pp
49%
Away Win
58%
-9.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+13.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.9pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jaro EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY SJK Seinajoki EU Bookmakers 62%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
2.54/2.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/3.00
+143% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +130% / -65%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
271 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 454 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jaro
1W-1D-4L
AWAY SJK Seinajoki
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
19.01.2019 Jaro Jaro 1-2 HT 1-2 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki HAZ
24.02.2018 Jaro Jaro 1-1 HT 0-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİK
25.10.2015 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 2-0 HT 1-0 Jaro Jaro FİN
09.08.2015 Jaro Jaro 1-0 HT 0-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
23.04.2015 Jaro Jaro 0-1 HT 0-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
28.02.2015 Jaro Jaro 3-4 HT 3-2 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jaro
1-2
AWAY SJK Seinajoki
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
6 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Jaro vs SJK Seinajoki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SJK Seinajoki squeezed past Jaro 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had SJK Seinajoki as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Jaro had 43% of the ball to SJK Seinajoki's 57%, shots finished 5-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SJK Seinajoki led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Jaro and 1.67 for SJK Seinajoki.

What was the final score of Jaro vs SJK Seinajoki?

Jaro 1-2 SJK Seinajoki in the Finland - League Cup on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jaro vs SJK Seinajoki?

Before kick-off our model rated an SJK Seinajoki win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Jaro 26%, draw 25%, SJK Seinajoki 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SJK Seinajoki) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SJK Seinajoki) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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