Gnistan 3-0 KTP Kotka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.53
Draw
28%
4.19
Away
29%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.13
2-3 Goals
38%
1.94
4-5 Goals
25%
2.54
6+ Goals
13%
6.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
61%
-17.6pp
28%
Draw
20%
+7.5pp
29%
Away Win
19%
+10.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+11.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-11.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.3pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gnistan EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY KTP Kotka EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +43%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
377 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gnistan
1W-1D-3L
AWAY KTP Kotka
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.60
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.05.2023 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 1-1 HT 0-1 Gnistan Gnistan FİK
17.07.2022 Gnistan Gnistan 2-1 HT 2-1 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
15.06.2022 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 4-0 HT 2-0 Gnistan Gnistan FİN2
16.09.2020 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 4-0 HT 3-0 Gnistan Gnistan FİN2
19.07.2020 Gnistan Gnistan 0-3 HT 0-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gnistan
3-0
AWAY KTP Kotka
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gnistan vs KTP Kotka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gnistan cruised past KTP Kotka 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gnistan as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Gnistan had 47% of the ball to KTP Kotka's 53%, shots finished 14-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, KTP Kotka led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Gnistan and 2.60 for KTP Kotka.

What was the final score of Gnistan vs KTP Kotka?

Gnistan 3-0 KTP Kotka in the Finland - League Cup on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gnistan vs KTP Kotka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gnistan win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gnistan 43%, draw 28%, KTP Kotka 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gnistan), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gnistan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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