Oulu 1-2 Ilves Tampere — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.13
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
52%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.34
2-3 Goals
43%
1.86
4-5 Goals
20%
2.73
6+ Goals
9%
7.56
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.34 — our 28% vs market 17.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+3.7pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.7pp
52%
Away Win
58%
-5.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.6pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oulu EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 62%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
0.00/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-100% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% /
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
286 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oulu
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Ilves Tampere
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.23 xG 1.66
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
313 Passes 474
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 29
10 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
04.08.2024 Oulu Oulu 0-1 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
04.05.2024 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 3-2 HT 1-1 Oulu Oulu FİN
08.02.2024 Oulu Oulu 0-1 HT 0-1 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FLK
06.10.2023 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 3-2 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
23.08.2023 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-0 HT 0-0 Oulu Oulu FİK
19.08.2023 Oulu Oulu 0-3 HT 0-1 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
POST-MATCH Oulu vs Ilves Tampere
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilves Tampere nicked a narrow win over Oulu 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ilves Tampere as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ilves Tampere led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Oulu and 2.00 for Ilves Tampere.

What was the final score of Oulu vs Ilves Tampere?

Oulu 1-2 Ilves Tampere in the Finland - League Cup on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oulu vs Ilves Tampere?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Oulu 24%, draw 23%, Ilves Tampere 52%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ilves Tampere), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ilves Tampere) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FLK More Finland - League Cup
1 Feb 2025
15:00 Haka vs Inter Turku Analysis →
15:00 Gnistan vs KTP Kotka Analysis →
16:00 KuPS Kuopio vs VPS Analysis →
16:30 Jaro vs SJK Seinajoki Analysis →