Oulu 0-1 Ilves Tampere — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.32
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
44%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.86
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.18
6+ Goals
11%
10.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.86 — our 28% vs market 20.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.55
1/2
6%
23.15
1/X
10%
13.4
X/1
8%
7.86
X/2
16%
4.53
X/X
15%
5.02
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.56
2/X
6%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
26%
-1.0pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.3pp
44%
Away Win
48%
-4.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.5pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oulu EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 52%
-9% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +13%
0.93/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.65
-19% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
287 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 80%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.9
12.9 Crosses 12.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oulu
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Ilves Tampere
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.64 xG 1.58
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
356 Passes 354
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
04.05.2024 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 3-2 HT 1-1 Oulu Oulu FİN
08.02.2024 Oulu Oulu 0-1 HT 0-1 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FLK
06.10.2023 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 3-2 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
23.08.2023 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-0 HT 0-0 Oulu Oulu FİK
19.08.2023 Oulu Oulu 0-3 HT 0-1 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
05.05.2023 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-2 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oulu
0-1
AWAY Ilves Tampere
0.42 xG 0.66
22% Ball Possession 78%
9 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
169 Passes 766
71% Pass Accuracy 90%
13 Box Touches 30
6 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Oulu vs Ilves Tampere
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilves Tampere squeezed past Oulu 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ilves Tampere as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Oulu had 22% of the ball to Ilves Tampere's 78%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 0.42 to 0.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ilves Tampere led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Oulu and 2.00 for Ilves Tampere.

What was the final score of Oulu vs Ilves Tampere?

Oulu 0-1 Ilves Tampere in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oulu vs Ilves Tampere?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Oulu 26%, draw 31%, Ilves Tampere 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ilves Tampere), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ilves Tampere) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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