KuPS Kuopio 2-1 SJK Seinajoki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
28%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.07
Over 2.5
44%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.92
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.15
6+ Goals
10%
10.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.92 — our 27% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.13
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
4%
13.1
X/1
20%
5.08
X/2
11%
6.19
X/X
15%
5.15
2/1
6%
24.45
2/2
12%
4.12
2/X
10%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.1pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.4pp
28%
Away Win
33%
-4.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.3pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY SJK Seinajoki EU Bookmakers 37%
+8% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.30/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.17
+1% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 81%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
17.7 Crosses 27.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KuPS Kuopio
3W-2D-1L
AWAY SJK Seinajoki
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.53 xG 0.71
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
419 Passes 329
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-1 HT 1-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
17.02.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-3 HT 0-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FLK
01.10.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-1 HT 0-1 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
20.08.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 3-0 HT 1-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
26.05.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-0 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
28.01.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 0-1 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KuPS Kuopio
2-1
AWAY SJK Seinajoki
1.48 xG 0.98
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
436 Passes 375
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
27 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH KuPS Kuopio vs SJK Seinajoki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Kuopio nicked a narrow win over SJK Seinajoki 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had KuPS Kuopio as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, KuPS Kuopio had 53% of the ball to SJK Seinajoki's 47%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.48 to 0.98.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for KuPS Kuopio and 0.67 for SJK Seinajoki.

What was the final score of KuPS Kuopio vs SJK Seinajoki?

KuPS Kuopio 2-1 SJK Seinajoki in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KuPS Kuopio vs SJK Seinajoki?

Before kick-off our model rated a KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split KuPS Kuopio 42%, draw 30%, SJK Seinajoki 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KuPS Kuopio), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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