SJK Seinajoki 1-3 KuPS Kuopio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.53
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.31
6+ Goals
9%
12.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.53 — our 29% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.5pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.0pp
33%
Away Win
33%
+0.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.5pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SJK Seinajoki EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 37%
+45% / +45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
2.91/1.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/2.13
+122% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -47%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SJK Seinajoki
3W-1D-2L
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.76 xG 1.43
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
338 Passes 399
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 3
01.10.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-1 HT 0-1 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
20.08.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 3-0 HT 1-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
26.05.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-0 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
28.01.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 0-1 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FLK
28.09.2022 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 3-1 HT 2-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
20.08.2022 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 2-1 HT 1-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
POST-MATCH SJK Seinajoki vs KuPS Kuopio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Kuopio got the better of SJK Seinajoki 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 33% — and on the day KuPS Kuopio made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SJK Seinajoki had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for SJK Seinajoki and 1.17 for KuPS Kuopio.

What was the final score of SJK Seinajoki vs KuPS Kuopio?

SJK Seinajoki 1-3 KuPS Kuopio in the Finland - League Cup on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SJK Seinajoki vs KuPS Kuopio?

Before kick-off our model rated a SJK Seinajoki win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split SJK Seinajoki 38%, draw 28%, KuPS Kuopio 33%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (SJK Seinajoki) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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