HJK Helsinki 1-2 Inter Turku — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.1
Over 2.5
44%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.02
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.04
6+ Goals
9%
9.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.02 — our 30% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.8pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.8pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.6pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HJK Helsinki EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 24%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +55% / +55%
3.05/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/0.43
+101% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +150%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
365 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HJK Helsinki
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Inter Turku
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.30 xG 1.11
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
486 Passes 227
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2023 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 2-0 HT 0-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
20.08.2023 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-3 HT 1-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
13.05.2023 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 4-1 HT 0-1 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
22.02.2023 Inter Turku Inter Turku 4-0 HT 3-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FLK
02.10.2022 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 3-0 HT 0-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
29.06.2022 Inter Turku Inter Turku 0-0 HT 0-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HJK Helsinki
1-2
AWAY Inter Turku
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH HJK Helsinki vs Inter Turku
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Turku squeezed past HJK Helsinki 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was HJK Helsinki at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, HJK Helsinki had 58% of the ball to Inter Turku's 42%, shots finished 12-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, HJK Helsinki had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for HJK Helsinki and 1.00 for Inter Turku.

What was the final score of HJK Helsinki vs Inter Turku?

HJK Helsinki 1-2 Inter Turku in the Finland - League Cup on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HJK Helsinki vs Inter Turku?

Before kick-off our model rated a HJK Helsinki win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split HJK Helsinki 50%, draw 27%, Inter Turku 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (HJK Helsinki) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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