VPS 1-1 Oulu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 17 Feb 2024

VPS
1-1 HT 1-0
Oulu
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Finland - League Cup – 2024

VPS vs Oulu Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.1
Over 2.5
44%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.99
2-3 Goals
45%
1.82
4-5 Goals
18%
3.05
6+ Goals
8%
9.87
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.99 — our 29% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-5.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
44%
+12.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
56%
-12.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.4pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

VPS v Oulu — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VPS EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Oulu EU Bookmakers 29%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.51/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.50
+64% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
392 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.0

VPS vs Oulu Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VPS
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Oulu
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.91 xG 0.87
42% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
267 Passes 448
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
15.07.2023 VPS VPS 3-0 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
22.06.2023 Oulu Oulu 0-0 HT 0-0 VPS VPS FİK
13.05.2023 Oulu Oulu 2-1 HT 0-1 VPS VPS FİN
11.02.2023 Oulu Oulu 1-1 HT 1-1 VPS VPS FLK
22.10.2022 Oulu Oulu 0-1 HT 0-0 VPS VPS FİN
08.10.2022 VPS VPS 2-1 HT 1-1 Oulu Oulu FİN
POST-MATCH VPS vs Oulu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VPS and Oulu shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was VPS at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, VPS had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for VPS and 0.67 for Oulu.

What was the final score of VPS vs Oulu?

VPS 1-1 Oulu in the Finland - League Cup on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VPS vs Oulu?

Before kick-off our model rated a VPS win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split VPS 45%, draw 24%, Oulu 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (VPS) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (VPS) ✓ Under 2.5
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