Gnistan 1-2 FC Lahti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.86
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.13
6+ Goals
12%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.5pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gnistan EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Lahti EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
258 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gnistan
1-2
AWAY FC Lahti
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gnistan vs FC Lahti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Lahti edged past Gnistan 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; FC Lahti found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Gnistan had 58% of the ball to FC Lahti's 42%, shots finished 15-7.

What was the final score of Gnistan vs FC Lahti?

Gnistan 1-2 FC Lahti in the Finland - League Cup on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gnistan vs FC Lahti?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Lahti win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gnistan 35%, draw 27%, FC Lahti 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Lahti), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Lahti) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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