SJK Seinajoki 1-1 KuPS Kuopio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.05
2-3 Goals
35%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.83
6+ Goals
12%
16.7
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.83 — our 25% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.13
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
29.0
1/X
9%
12.95
X/1
15%
5.88
X/2
15%
5.25
X/X
8%
4.28
2/1
8%
32.0
2/2
14%
3.52
2/X
7%
12.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 29.0 — our 10% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+2.5pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.3pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+1.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SJK Seinajoki EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +12%
1.25/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.06
-1% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 79%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
20.1 Crosses 19.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SJK Seinajoki
2W-1D-3L
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.76 xG 1.43
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
338 Passes 399
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 3
17.02.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-3 HT 0-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FLK
01.10.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-1 HT 0-1 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
20.08.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 3-0 HT 1-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
26.05.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-0 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
28.01.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 0-1 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FLK
28.09.2022 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 3-1 HT 2-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SJK Seinajoki
1-1
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
0.58 xG 1.83
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
302 Passes 477
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
20 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SJK Seinajoki vs KuPS Kuopio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SJK Seinajoki and KuPS Kuopio couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 24% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, SJK Seinajoki had 41% of the ball to KuPS Kuopio's 59%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.58 to 1.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for SJK Seinajoki and 1.50 for KuPS Kuopio.

What was the final score of SJK Seinajoki vs KuPS Kuopio?

SJK Seinajoki 1-1 KuPS Kuopio in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SJK Seinajoki vs KuPS Kuopio?

Before kick-off our model rated an KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split SJK Seinajoki 37%, draw 24%, KuPS Kuopio 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KuPS Kuopio), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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