Chelsea U21 3-1 Manchester City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 18 Aug 2025

📅18/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
Over
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
61%
1.33
No
39%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
40%
4-5
27%
6+
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.5pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.1pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-0.8pp
61%
BTTS Yes
71%
-10.5pp
39%
BTTS No
29%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelsea U21 The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester City U21 The Market 45%
+46% / +46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
2.28/3.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/2.42
+150% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -39%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
343 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.0 Crosses 10.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelsea U21
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Manchester City U21
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 3
393 Passes 380
87% Pass Accuracy 88%
8 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.02.2025 Manchester City U21 Manchester City U21 5-0 HT 1-0 Chelsea U21 Chelsea U21 INGPL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelsea U21
3-1
AWAY Manchester City U21
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
484 Passes 427
89% Pass Accuracy 89%
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chelsea U21 vs Manchester City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea U21 got the better of Manchester City U21 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 23% / 40%) promised a tight game; Chelsea U21 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Chelsea U21 had 53% of the ball to Manchester City U21's 47%, shots finished 12-12.

What was the final score of Chelsea U21 vs Manchester City U21?

Chelsea U21 3-1 Manchester City U21 in the INGPL2 on 18/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelsea U21 vs Manchester City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chelsea U21 37%, draw 23%, Manchester City U21 40%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Manchester City U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manchester City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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