Middlesbrough U21 0-1 Manchester United U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 18 Aug 2025

📅18/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.69
Draw
12%
4.19
Away
58%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
Over Pick
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
39%
4-5
29%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
3%
2/2
42%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
30%
Home Win
24%
+6.2pp
12%
Draw
21%
-9.0pp
58%
Away Win
56%
+2.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-12.4pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middlesbrough U21 The Market 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester United U21 The Market 60%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.43/1.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.78/1.33
+5% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
298 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.9 Crosses 16.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Middlesbrough U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Manchester United U21
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
08.03.2024 Middlesbrough U21 Middlesbrough U21 3-2 HT 1-2 Manchester United U21 Manchester United U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Middlesbrough U21
0-1
AWAY Manchester United U21
37% Ball Possession 63%
15 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 9
188 Passes 397
70% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Middlesbrough U21 vs Manchester United U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester United U21 edged past Middlesbrough U21 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Manchester United U21 as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Middlesbrough U21 had 37% of the ball to Manchester United U21's 63%, shots finished 15-12.

What was the final score of Middlesbrough U21 vs Manchester United U21?

Middlesbrough U21 0-1 Manchester United U21 in the INGPL2 on 18/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middlesbrough U21 vs Manchester United U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester United U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Middlesbrough U21 30%, draw 12%, Manchester United U21 58%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester United U21) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manchester United U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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