Amed SK 2-2 Erzurumspor FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 18 Aug 2025

📅18/08/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.48
Over 2.5
34%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.17
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
17%
5.81
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.13
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.25
X/1
9%
4.51
X/2
13%
6.72
X/X
14%
3.49
2/1
5%
33.5
2/2
13%
5.75
2/X
8%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.2pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.4pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.9pp
66%
Under 2.5
64%
+2.1pp
34%
Over 2.5
36%
-2.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.1pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amed SK EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Erzurumspor FK EU Bookmakers 30%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
1.32/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.21
-29% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
279 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
22.0 Crosses 15.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amed SK
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Erzurumspor FK
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.88 xG 1.16
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
337 Passes 208
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
16.03.2025 Amed SK Amed SK 1-2 HT 0-1 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
03.11.2024 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 2-0 HT 1-0 Amed SK Amed SK T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amed SK
2-2
AWAY Erzurumspor FK
1.40 xG 1.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
276 Passes 284
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 23
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Amed SK vs Erzurumspor FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amed SK and Erzurumspor FK couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Amed SK had 48% of the ball to Erzurumspor FK's 52%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 1.40 to 1.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Erzurumspor FK led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Amed SK and 2.00 for Erzurumspor FK.

What was the final score of Amed SK vs Erzurumspor FK?

Amed SK 2-2 Erzurumspor FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 18/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amed SK vs Erzurumspor FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amed SK win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Amed SK 39%, draw 31%, Erzurumspor FK 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Amed SK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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