Amed SK 1-2 Erzurumspor FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
36%
2.83
Away
25%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.41
Over 2.5
40%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.29
No
56%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
1.99
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
19%
6.87
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.59
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
14.9
X/1
15%
4.75
X/2
9%
6.14
X/X
23%
3.26
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
11%
5.3
2/X
10%
15.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.2pp
36%
Draw
32%
+4.6pp
25%
Away Win
28%
-3.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
67%
-7.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
33%
+7.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.1pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amed SK EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Erzurumspor FK EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.29/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.25
-21% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
268 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 73%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
24.8 Crosses 17.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amed SK
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Erzurumspor FK
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.54 xG 1.62
61% Ball Possession 39%
8 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
364 Passes 198
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
12 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.11.2024 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 2-0 HT 1-0 Amed SK Amed SK T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amed SK
1-2
AWAY Erzurumspor FK
1.21 xG 0.70
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 0
310 Passes 218
80% Pass Accuracy 68%
19 Box Touches 13
28 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Amed SK vs Erzurumspor FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erzurumspor FK squeezed past Amed SK 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 36% / 25% — and on the day Erzurumspor FK made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Amed SK had 56% of the ball to Erzurumspor FK's 44%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.21 to 0.70 — the balance of chances actually favoured Amed SK.

What was the final score of Amed SK vs Erzurumspor FK?

Amed SK 1-2 Erzurumspor FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amed SK vs Erzurumspor FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amed SK win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Amed SK 39%, draw 36%, Erzurumspor FK 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Amed SK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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