Çorum FK 3-2 Keçiörengücü — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
37%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.75
No
57%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.17
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.77
6+ Goals
10%
15.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 32% vs market 26.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.99
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.0
X/1
11%
4.88
X/2
15%
6.81
X/X
9%
4.51
2/1
9%
26.0
2/2
16%
5.01
2/X
8%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-6.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
37%
Away Win
29%
+7.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.6pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çorum FK EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Keçiörengücü EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +28%
1.76/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.21
-9% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
346 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 79%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
23.0 Crosses 16.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çorum FK
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Keçiörengücü
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.79 xG 1.76
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
375 Passes 292
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 2-3 HT 2-1 Çorum FK Çorum FK T1L
02.04.2024 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 1-2 HT 1-2 Çorum FK Çorum FK T1L
04.11.2023 Çorum FK Çorum FK 2-3 HT 2-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çorum FK
3-2
AWAY Keçiörengücü
1.26 xG 0.94
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
370 Passes 288
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Çorum FK vs Keçiörengücü
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çorum FK edged past Keçiörengücü 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Çorum FK made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Çorum FK had 56% of the ball to Keçiörengücü's 44%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.26 to 0.94.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Çorum FK had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Çorum FK and 2.00 for Keçiörengücü.

What was the final score of Çorum FK vs Keçiörengücü?

Çorum FK 3-2 Keçiörengücü in the Turkey - 1st Division on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çorum FK vs Keçiörengücü?

Before kick-off our model rated a Çorum FK win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Çorum FK 37%, draw 26%, Keçiörengücü 37%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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